STAT 205

Introduction to Mathematical Statistics

Author
Affiliation

Dr. Irene Vrbik

University of British Columbia Okanagan

Welcome!

This is the official course website for STAT 205. Here, you’ll find:

  • The course syllabus.
  • Weekly lecture slides (see links in ?@tbl-schedule)
  • About the instructor.

All other course material (e.g. assignments and grades) can also be accessed through Canvas. The syllabus can be found in the Syllabus tab in the Navigation bar.

Use the navigation bar above to explore the content.

Lectures

Lectures will be uploaded here. These slides were built using Quarto and includes a built in version of the reveal.js-menu plugin. You can access the navigation menu using the button located in the bottom left corner of the presentation1. Clicking the button opens a slide navigation menu that enables you to easily jump to any slide.

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Tentative Schedule

Tentative lecture schedule: Supplementary materials are optional and provide additional, in-depth coverage related to the slides. Practice problems are recommended but not mandatory. {#tbl-schedule
Lecture: Topic Supplementary Material Practice Problems
Introduction [slides] 📘 Diez, Barr, and Çetinkaya-Rundel (2016) Section 1.2, 1.3 Diez, Barr, and Çetinkaya-Rundel (2016): Exercises: 1.1, 1.9, 1.13, 1.15, 1.17, 1.27, 1.39, 1.43
Summarizing Data [slides]

📘 Diez, Barr, and Çetinkaya-Rundel (2016) Sections 2.1 and 2.2 (can skip special topics)

📈 R: Irene’s tutorial: R basics

Diez, Barr, and Çetinkaya-Rundel (2016) Exercises: 2.1, 2.5, 2.11, 2.13, 2.15, 2.17, 2.27, 2.33

JB exercises3 Ch 3 Exercises: 10, 20, 21, 22, 23, 31, 32, 34, 39, 36, 37, 39, 40, 41, 45, 46, 48, 49, 50

📝 Assignment 1 (see Canvas)

📘 Wickham, Çetinkaya-Rundel, and Grolemund (2023) Chapter 28

📈 R: Quarto tutorial: Hello, Quarto

📈 R:Irene’s tutorial: Quarto documents

Wickham, Çetinkaya-Rundel, and Grolemund (2023)
28.3.1: 1, 2, 3; 28.5.5: 1, 2; 28.6.3: 1, 2, 3
Sampling Distribution for the mean [slides]

📘 Ross - Ch 6

📘 Balka 4.1, 4.2, 4.3, 4.4, 4.5

🎬 What is the CLT

📘 StatKey: Sampling Distribution for a Mean

JB exercises4 Ch 7: 1, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 19, 20, 21, 24, 25
Confidence Intervals for the mean (known \(\sigma\)) [slides]

📘(Balka n.d.) Ch 5: 5.1 – 5.6

📘(Illowsky and Dean 2022) Ch 8: 8.1, 8.4

📘 (Diez, Barr, and Çetinkaya-Rundel 2016) Ch 4.1, 4.2

JB exercises Ch 8.2

🧮 calculations: 1, 2

🧠interpretation 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

JB exercises Ch 8.5

📏 CI \(\sigma\) unknown: 20

Finite Population Correction and Choosing a Sample Size [slides] 📘 Illowsky and Dean (2022) 7.4

Illowsky and Dean (2022) Ch 7: Practice 41-48

JB exercises Ch 8.4

🧮 calculations: 14

Confidence Intervals for the mean (unknown \(\sigma\)) [slides]

🎬 JB Online 5.7 (unknown \(\sigma\) method)

🎬 JB Online 5.8 (t-distribution)

🎬 JB Online 5.8 (Finding \(p\)-value5 )

JB exercises Ch 8.3-8.5

🧮 calculations: 8, 14, 15, 16, 21

🧠 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 18, 19, 21, 24, 25, 35

📏 CI \(\sigma\) unknown: 17, 26, 27, 29, 31, 32, 34, 42

Hypothesis Testing for one-sample mean (critical value approach) [slides]

Devore, Berk, and Carlton (2021) 9.1,

🎬 JB Online 6.1 (Intro to Hypothesis Testing)

🎬 JB online 6.2 (Tests for One Mean)

🎬 JB online 6.8 (One-Sided Test or Two-Sided Test?)

🎬 JB online 6.9 (The Relationship Between Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Tests)

JB exercises Ch 9:6

🛠️ concepts and setup: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 23, 26, 27, 53, 59, 60 | |

🧪 applied: 12, 13,

Hypothesis Testing for one-sample mean (\(p\)-value approach + t.test()) [slides]

Diez, Barr, and Çetinkaya-Rundel (2016) Chapter 6 and 7, Balka (n.d.) Section 9.10

🎬 JB online 6.4 (Z Tests for One Mean: The p-value)

🎬 JB online 6.5 (Z Tests for One Mean: An Example)

🎬 JB online 6.6 (What is a p-value?)

🎬 JB online 6.16 (t Tests for One Mean: An Example)

🎬 JB Online 6.17 (t-tests for One Mean: Investigating the Normality Assumption)

🎬 JB Online 6.18 (Hypothesis tests on one mean: t or z?)

JB exercises Ch 8 Extra Ex:

📈 R: 36, 39

JB exercises Ch 9

🛠️ concepts and setup: 28, 29, 33, 34, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 52, | |

🧪 applied: 30, 31, 32, 43, 46, 47, 56,

📈 R: 35, 44, 62f, 63f, 64f, 67f, 71

Type I/II errors and power [slides]

🌐 StatSig

🌐 Stats By Jim

JB exercises

Ch 9: 16-19, 20, 21, 22, 47, 51, 54, 55, 57, 58,

Ch 10: 15

✂✂✂✂ Midterm 1 material cut off ✂✂✂✂
Inference for Proportions [slides]
above is all adapted current material 👆
⛔️ below is old material that will likely change 👇
5: Likelihood and Parameter Estimation (Ramachandran and Tsokos 2020) - Ch 5.1-5.3; Ross - Ch 6

JB exercises (solutions found here) Ch 7: 14, 15

Rice (2007) Section 8.10: 4, 5, 6, 7 (excluding part d), 16, 21, 27, 47, 50, 52, 60

6: Confidence Intervals for Means and Proportions (Illowsky and Dean 2022) - Ch 8
(Balka n.d.) Ch 5 5.7-
(Ramachandran and Tsokos 2020) Ch 5.4-5.5
Khan: Sampling Distribution for proportions

CI for \(p\): Diez, Barr, and Çetinkaya-Rundel (2016) Ch 6: 6.1, 6.5, 6.7, 6.9, 6.10, 6.11, 6.13, 6.15

JB exercises Ch 10:

📈 R: 14, 18, 19, 30

8: Hypothesis Testing for one-sample proportions (\(p\) -value approach) Devore, Berk, and Carlton (2021) 9.4, Diez, Barr, and Çetinkaya-Rundel (2016) 5.3

JB exercises Ch 11:

  • concepts and setup: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6

  • applied: 7, 19, 20, 21

Diez, Barr, and Çetinkaya-Rundel (2016) Ch 6:

  • 6.1, 6.5, 6.9, 6.13
Midterm 1 Practice Problems and Suggested Problems
10: Inference for difference of Two Means Balka (n.d.) chapter 10, Diez, Barr, and Çetinkaya-Rundel (2016) 7.2, 7.3

JB exercises Ch 10:

  • Concepts: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 18, 19, 20, 22, 23, 24, 25

  • Applied: 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31

11: Examples involving two-populations see above
12: Examples using the R formulas in t.test

JB exercises7

  • Ch 8: 36, 39

13: Inference on two proportions Balka (n.d.) chapter 11.3, Diez, Barr, and Çetinkaya-Rundel (2016) 6.2

JB exercises Ch 11:

  • Concepts: 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 17, 18

  • Applied: 22, 23, 24-26

Midterm 2 Review
Midterm 2

Practice Problems (Set 2), Suggested problems8, plus

Review questions from JB exercises (solutions found here):

Ch 9

  • 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67

Extra Practice:

  • Ch 9:68 - 75

  • Ch 10: 32-41

  • Ch 11: 27-33

Chi-squared tests for one variance [slides] Balka (n.d.) 12.1 – 12.3 (Ramachandran and Tsokos 2020) 4.2
15: Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) Lesson 10 Penn Stat 500, Chapter 14 Balka (n.d.) JB exercises Ch 14: 1, 2, 3, 5, 12, 14–23, 25–30
16: Contingency Table Analysis Balka (n.d.) Chapter 13, Penn Stat STAT 500 Lesson 8, Diez, Barr, and Çetinkaya-Rundel (2016) 6.3, 6.4 JB exercises Ch 13: 1, 2, 3, 8, 11, 12, 13, 14, 17, 18, 19, 22, 23, 28
17: Linear Regression and Correlation

References

Balka, Jeremy. n.d. “Making Statistics Make Sense.” Accessed January 6, 2024. https://www.jbstatistics.com/.
Devore, J. L., K. N. Berk, and M. A. Carlton. 2021. Modern Mathematical Statistics with Applications. Springer Texts in Statistics. Springer International Publishing. https://books.google.ca/books?id=ghcsEAAAQBAJ.
Diez, D. M., C. D. Barr, and M. Çetinkaya-Rundel. 2016. OpenIntro Statistics. OpenIntro, Incorporated. https://books.google.ca/books?id=wfcPswEACAAJ.
Illowsky, B., and S. Dean. 2022. Introductory Statistics. Open Stax Textbooks. https://books.google.ca/books?id=-GQIzwEACAAJ.
Ramachandran, K. M., and C. P. Tsokos. 2020. Mathematical Statistics with Applications in r. Elsevier Science. https://books.google.ca/books?id=t3bLDwAAQBAJ.
Rice, J. A. 2007. Mathematical Statistics and Data Analysis. Advanced Series. Cengage Learning. https://books.google.ca/books?id=KfkYAQAAIAAJ.
Wickham, H., M. Çetinkaya-Rundel, and G. Grolemund. 2023. R for Data Science: Import, Tidy, Transform, Visualize, and Model Data. O’Reilly. https://books.google.ca/books?id=xU-gzwEACAAJ.

Footnotes

  1. You can also open the navigation menu by pressing the M key.↩︎

  2. Note: This feature has only been confirmed to work in Google Chrome and Chromium.↩︎

  3. solutions found here↩︎

  4. note that the exercise chapters don’t match up with the website.↩︎

  5. we will cover \(p\)-values later, for now you can just think of \(p\)-values as generic probabilities↩︎

  6. I would priorities the questions in bold↩︎

  7. these contain repeats from this column↩︎

  8. the listed practice problems from this column of the table for the appropriate Lectures↩︎